联合民主国家
A MULTI POLAR WORLD WITH BRICS
The specter of a world dominated by an unchecked BRICS alliance looms large, threatening the established international order and the future of democracies. The potential consequences of inaction are dire, envisioning a landscape where the BRICS nations, particularly with the inclusion of anti-Western members, wield disproportionate power and influence.
BRICS STRATEGY
The BRICS strategy appears to be one of calculated expansion, strategically acquiring territories rich in natural resources vital to the West. This ambition is not merely economic; it is a calculated political maneuver to hold the West hostage, leveraging their dependence on resources like oil, gas, rare earth minerals, metals, gold, and others. This poses a significant strategic threat to democracies worldwide, a challenge that demands immediate and decisive action. Worryingly, some democratic nations have already succumbed to the influence of Russian oligarch- and China's authoritarian regime, further highlighting the fragility of the democratic structure.
The political alignment within the BRICS framework is evidently led by Russia and China, with Brazil, India and South Africa forming a core group, and countries like Iran and oil-rich United Arab Emirates waiting in the wings. The Islamic Republic of Iran, is another authoritarian regime, providing support to terrorist organizations and posing a threat to its neighboring nations.
The erosion of the international democratic order is a cause for serious concern. A future where individuals traveling abroad could face arrest and politically motivated extradition to countries with questionable legal systems is a grim prospect. The need for unity and shared purpose is paramount to safeguard our common interests and preserve the values of democracy. It is crucial to recognize the gravity of the situation and work together to counter the growing threat posed by the unchecked rise of the BRICS alliance. Failure to do so could usher in an era of unprecedented political and economic instability, jeopardizing the future of democracies worldwide.
RUSSIAN OLIGARCH REGIME
The Russian oligarch regime, notorious for its historical understanding of the market value and power of mineral resources, recognizes the potential to leverage this wealth as a bargaining chip to exert its dominance. This strategic manipulation of resources could lead to a future where the West finds itself entirely dependent on the BRICS, a scenario with far-reaching political and economic implications.
The covert Russian activities by its state sponsered Wagner Group in sub-Saharan Africa further exemplify the Russian-Chinese led BRICS alliance and strategy. By ousting Western influence, particularly France, the Russian-Chinese alliance aim to seize control of resource-rich nations such as Mali, Sudan, Chad, the Central African Republic, and Libya, gaining access to their extensive mineral deposits and oil reserves. The Wagner Group's operations, designed to undermine weak democratic governments and facilitate military coups, serve as a precursor to installing pro-Russian and pro-Chinese regimes, ensuring preferential access to these valuable resources. The African Union finds itself in a state of helplessness, facing one after the other coup d'etat. Even Russia's invasion, war and attack on Ukraine is driven by occupying and confiscating its oil and gas rich regions, containing 80% of its reserves.
BRICS ALLIANCE
The BRICS alliance, spearheaded by Russia and China, represents a significant geopolitical threat due to its expansive territory and abundant natural resources. This alliance, however, poses a complex challenge to the established world order, particularly concerning democratic values and global stability.
Russia, despite possessing the world's largest landmass, has a relatively modest economy, comparable in size to Italy's, with a population of approximately 146 million and a land mass 57 times larger then Italy. (In contrast, the United States, with half the landmass and roughly double the population, boasts an economy ten times larger then Russia). Russia's historical strengths lie in territorial expansion, resource exploitation, and military prowess. The nation's vast mineral wealth, including oil, gas, minerals and diamonds, has enriched a powerful class of oligarchs and fueled the growth of its military-industrial complex. Russia's willingness to supply advanced military technology, even to nations like Iran and North Korea, underscores a strategic ambition to challenge Western hegemony and destabilize the global landscape.
China with its state-controlled economy, has emerged as the world's leading manufacturing hub, producing a vast array of consumer goods and industrial machinery. While ostensibly pursuing peaceful development, China's acquisition of military technology, often through reverse engineering, coupled with its economic might, amplifies the strategic threat posed by the BRICS alliance. (It is notable that China is half the size of Russia with a population ten times as much, and that Russia historically colonized all of North East Asia, namely Siberia and the Far East),
The combined strengths of Russia and China – Russia's military-industrial complex and territorial quest, coupled with China's economic power – create a powerful, anti-democratic partnership. This alliance presents a multifaceted challenge to the international community, requiring careful consideration and strategic responses to safeguard global security and democratic principles.
BRICS AT WAR The BRICS economic alliance faces a critical juncture as war and conflicts of member states, and the potential inclusion of nations with questionable governance threaten its core principles. While projecting an image of peaceful development and shared prosperity, particularly to its large populations in countries like China and India, ongoing wars involving member states like Russia and Iran, alongside internal strife in Ethiopia, undermine this narrative.
The potential addition of nations with authoritarian tendencies, such as Belarus and Uzbekistan, further jeopardizes the BRICS' standing. This shift risks transforming the alliance from a cooperative economic force into a collection of nations united primarily by anti-Western sentiment. Such a foundation, lacking genuine shared interests, is inherently unstable and may ultimately lead to the BRICS' fragmentation. The challenge for BRICS leadership lies in maintaining a commitment to its founding ideals and ensuring that new members align with these principles, rather than simply diluting the group's credibility and long-term viability. It is long overdue that overpopulated China, India and Brasil summoned Russia to withdraw from Ukraine, and stop their destabalizing military activities, instead of focussing on economic development.
What does United Democracies do differently?
The United Democracies distinguish themselves from BRICS through a commitment to democratic values and a unique funding model. Unlike BRICS, which includes nations with varying political systems, the United Democracies specifically exclude authoritarian states, conflict zones, and dictatorships, focusing solely on established and developing democracies.
This commitment to democratic principles fosters a shared understanding and trust among members, facilitating smoother collaboration and more effective governance. Furthermore, the proposed funding mechanism sets the United Democracies apart. By requiring each member state to contribute 1% of its GDP (potentially achievable through reduced military spending), the forum could generate a substantial $400 billion annually for its New Investment Bank.
This level of funding surpasses existing Chinese Belt and Road initiatives and BRICS investment programs, creating immense opportunities for economic growth and development within the democratic bloc. This economic engine, coupled with a foundation of shared democratic values, positions the United Democracies as a powerful force for global stability and prosperity.